Monday, December 29, 2008

Linear Causes Of The Credit Crisis Explained

In response to the questions I've been getting from the market and clients, I've attempted to explain the course of events and processes that have led to the US credit crisis.
So how did we get ourselves into this mess?
Just like the stock market in the late 90s, the extreme price appreciation of real estate over the last 5-10 years has been stratospheric. It didn’t take an economist to sense a bubble.
What blew this bubble way up, though, was the reckless way mortgages were doled out so freely. Speculation was rampant; loans were taken out without verification of income or assets. People got in over their heads in mortgage debt, either looking for a quick buck or living beyond their means.

Now, here comes the tricky part, which explains some of the problems we are seeing today. Historically, you took out a loan with a bank and the bank might hold/own that loan until the end.
But a process called securitization really started to take off on Wall Street over the past 10-20 years. But before I explain what securitization is, remember that a mortgage loan is DEBT for you the homeowner, but an ASSET for the bank or whoever owns the mortgage.

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